Rock may be solvent but where's the money come from?
at 02:47
Of course bankers, we know, ruleown the world. And they will stop at nothing, ultimately, to keep the rest of us from really understanding what's been going on these last few weeks but with one predicting, according to the Sunday Times, that the run on Northern Rock, which is what it undeniably is, could go as far as savers removing up to £12bn, it's worth a little reminder of what that number amounts to.
I'm sure not everyone is demanding cold hard cash with the monarch's head all over it, but if they did, that £12bn would amount to just shy of a quarter of the entire stock of Sterling notes and coin in circulation and in banks' tills. So, whether you bank with Northern Rock or not, if you want your share of that pretty measly pie, you'd better get it wherever you can, soon!
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When I learnt about banking, many years ago now, the principle was this:
1) Banks took deposits from customers and lent the money to others.
2) Because they were unlikely to be asked to repay more than a small proportion of what had been deposited with them, they could lend a large multiple of what had been deposited
3) A chunky part of what they lent would be used by the borrowers to pay suppliers
4) These suppliers would deposit this money with banks and the banks could then lend a multiple of these new deposits. As a result more “money” was created
5) In order to stop the whole thing getting out of hand, regulators required banks to hold a percentage of their assets in a form that could be quickly turned into cash
6) As a back up, the central bank stood as guarantor and would in an emergency lend the banks cash at a high rate of interest
All this was fine until original depositors wanted their money back in a larger percentage than normal (typically from a failure in confidence). If they did, then you would have a run on the bank.
That is where Northern Rock is now. If what we have been told is true, then we are lucky for the money withdrawn from NR is being re-deposited with other banks and so is rejoining the merry-go-round. Also, NR has lent money to fairly sound borrowers (though one may question the rate at which they have expanded at a time when house prices have already risen so much, so a rival bank will probably be interested in taking over its loan book and funding its cash requirements. What would be really bad is if a big bank with dodgy loans on its books found itself in a similar position. There may well be some of those.
You will find more about this and a simple (I hope) explanation of the American sub-prime crisis that started it all at: http://www.thinkhard.org/2007/09/a-really-simp-1.html
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I keep at least £3bn under
I keep at least £3bn under my bed at all times in case of a Northern Rock-type incident.